Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 85.360376 95.358248 105.540328 116.655071 128.416155 140.462297 153.704509
2025-08-03 68.649531 82.989100 98.217484 115.467920 134.346328 154.268880 176.775141
2025-08-10 59.468422 76.298673 94.729317 116.153552 140.132516 165.928221 195.566955
2025-08-17 51.520976 69.945757 90.705393 115.399198 143.578530 174.384694 210.274232
2025-08-24 45.676260 65.345308 88.086464 115.687922 147.708413 183.184390 224.982714
2025-08-31 40.005820 60.401233 84.603259 114.559933 149.859919 189.457283 236.593807
2025-09-07 36.433637 57.694426 83.498592 115.969755 154.726789 198.638761 251.340039
2025-09-14 33.500401 55.528602 82.836923 117.723467 159.844960 207.991497 266.187506
2025-09-21 29.728665 51.958038 80.188318 116.859790 161.691501 213.420305 276.417111
2025-09-28 25.762505 47.797647 76.535141 114.537555 161.605581 216.442877 283.736171
2025-10-05 24.803583 47.714610 78.070411 118.630093 169.239375 228.523974 301.583882
2025-10-12 23.325380 46.767160 78.383985 121.113489 174.862519 238.195339 316.599146
2025-10-19 20.841428 44.194542 76.445072 120.680325 176.899150 243.633372 326.717747
2025-10-26 18.418465 41.511037 74.213321 119.758866 178.250499 248.198169 335.774379
2025-11-02 16.739779 39.831452 73.255654 120.413101 181.503579 255.005062 347.453773
2025-11-09 14.785399 37.529948 71.300454 119.650144 182.894515 259.499126 356.334759
2025-11-16 13.314762 35.890151 70.192674 119.943801 185.570708 265.519864 367.015486
2025-11-23 11.594961 33.644269 68.084676 118.792203 186.325929 269.134460 374.763988
2025-11-30 10.679175 32.742439 67.905111 120.231716 190.391370 276.807862 387.402827
2025-12-07 9.918891 32.054344 68.002048 122.022186 194.893750 285.013787 400.687575
2025-12-14 8.625883 30.200334 66.228574 121.140437 195.859334 288.793051 408.571336
2025-12-21 7.161350 27.795279 63.468142 118.769328 194.790751 289.976187 413.243519
2025-12-28 7.083873 28.293754 65.308263 122.947722 202.395404 302.042745 431.247343